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“In Erie County, where Hochul had led by six points last month, Collins now has a six-point lead. And in the other counties of the district, Hochul has a slim three-point lead, where Collins had previously led by four points,” Greenberg said. “A small but noticeable gender gap remains with Collins leading among men by nine points – it was seven – and Hochul leading with women by six points, up one point from last month.
Only 45 percent of voters say they want to re-elect Hochul, while a majority, 51 percent would prefer ‘someone else.’ That’s down from 44-44 percent last month and 45-40 percent in August.
“Hochul has taken a bigger hit from voters over the course of the campaign, having started with a better favorability rating than Collins and now it’s weaker,” Greenberg said. “However, both candidates’ favorability ratings are equally strong with their own party and nearly evenly split among independents.”