Republican disapproval of New York's tough new gun-control law could be taking a toll on Gov. Andrew Cuomo, whose all-time high 74 - 13 percent job approval rating last month drops to a still-solid 59 - 28 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
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Voters in non-gun homes approve of the governor 68 - 19 percent. Voters in households with a gun disapprove 50 - 40 percent.
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Republican approval of the governor, 68 - 18 percent in a survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University on December 12, just two days before the Newtown massacre, is a split 44 - 43 percent today.
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Democratic support, 82 - 9 percent in December, is 74 - 14 percent today. Approval by independent voters drops from 70 - 12 percent to 54 - 32 percent.
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Women approve of Gov. Cuomo 64 - 23 percent, down from 73 - 12 percent. Men approve 54 - 33 percent, down from 74 - 14 percent.
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The gun-control package signed by Gov. Cuomo this month goes "too far' in restricting gun owners' rights, 34 percent of all voters, including 59 percent of Republicans, say. The gun- control measure does not go far enough in protecting public safety, 30 percent of all voters, including 17 percent of Republicans, say. The measure is "about right," 30 percent of all voters, including 20 percent of Republicans, say.
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"With approval ratings that consistently topped 70 percent, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo had the political capital to spend when he set out to pass the toughest gun control laws in the nation," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It is possible that the gun law cost him some of that political capital, but a 2-1 job approval rating still makes him the envy of most governors."
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"Is Gov. Cuomo's honeymoon with Republicans over, or is this just a spat that can be patched up in the months ahead?' Carroll asked. "Cuomo lost some Republican support after the 2011 same-sex marriage bill, but he got it back."
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By a 4-1 margin, New York State voters support the new requirement that mental health professionals report patients whom they believe are a threat to themselves or others so police can confiscate any weapons the patient owns: |
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76 percent support the measure;
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19 percent are opposed.
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Support is higher among Democrats, 83 - 12 percent, than among Republicans, 71 - 24 percent. Independent voter support the mental health measure 71 - 23 percent.
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Support among voters in gun households is 72 - 23 percent.
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Voters reject 56 - 32 percent the argument that fewer mentally ill people will seek help because of this measure.
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"Perhaps the most controversial measure in New York State's new package of gun laws, the mental health provision wins strong support and seems to put Democrats and Republicans in an interesting role reversal on law and order vs. civil rights," Carroll said.
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Stricter gun laws will do more to reduce gun violence in schools than armed guards, New York State voters say 48 - 40 percent.
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By a 46 - 22 percent margin, voters have an unfavorable opinion of the leadership of the National Rifle Assn.
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Job approval ratings are down slightly for other leaders: |
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Voters approve 57 - 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, down from 62 - 35 percent December 12;
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Sen. Charles Schumer gets a 60 - 30 percent job score, down from 63 - 23 percent;
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Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand has a 57 - 21 percent score, down from 61 - 18 percent, her highest ever.
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From January 23 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,127 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
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The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.
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For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
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1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 59% 44% 74% 54% 54% 64% 59% 63%
Disapprove 28 43 14 32 33 23 29 19
DK/NA 13 13 12 14 12 13 12 18
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 70% 53% 56% 60% 65% 54% 59% 63%
Disapprove 21 32 28 29 27 30 30 24
DK/NA 9 15 17 11 7 17 10 13
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Approve 51% 66% 64% 65% 62% 45% 40% 68% 56%
Disapprove 37 21 23 20 27 44 50 19 31
DK/NA 12 13 14 15 11 10 10 13 13
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor? |
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jan 30 Dec 12 Sep 12 Jul 25 May 30 Dec 12 Feb 23
2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011
Approve 59 74 70 73 71 74 56
Disapprove 28 13 16 16 16 13 15
DK/NA 13 13 14 12 13 13 29
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2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 60% 39% 79% 53% 53% 66% 58% 71%
Disapprove 30 53 12 35 37 24 33 12
DK/NA 10 8 9 12 10 10 9 16
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 69% 54% 53% 65% 67% 60% 58% 63%
Disapprove 25 33 32 29 27 26 31 29
DK/NA 6 12 15 6 6 14 11 8
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Approve 53% 65% 63% 65% 60% 52% 46% 66% 59%
Disapprove 35 26 28 25 32 38 45 24 30
DK/NA 12 9 9 11 9 10 9 10 11
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 69% Oct 2001) |
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jan 30 Dec 12 Sep 12 Jul 25 May 30 Dec 08 Apr 15
2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2004* 1999
Approve 60 63 62 61 64 69 51
Disapprove 30 23 25 25 26 16 22
DK/NA 10 15 13 14 10 15 28
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3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 57% 41% 73% 52% 53% 61% 56% 72%
Disapprove 21 38 6 27 26 16 25 5
DK/NA 22 21 22 21 20 23 19 23
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 63% 54% 55% 59% 63% 53% 60% 59%
Disapprove 21 21 16 23 25 17 24 20
DK/NA 16 25 29 19 12 30 15 21
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Approve 50% 63% 61% 63% 56% 49% 50% 62% 52%
Disapprove 27 15 21 15 24 29 28 17 23
DK/NA 23 22 18 22 20 23 23 21 25
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? |
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jan 30 Dec 12 Jul 25 May 30 Apr 05 Dec 12 Feb 17
2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009
Approve 57 61 54 60 60 61 28
Disapprove 21 18 20 22 21 18 10
DK/NA 22 21 26 18 19 21 62
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4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 57% 17% 90% 43% 49% 64% 48% 89%
Disapprove 39 82 8 48 47 32 48 6
DK/NA 4 1 2 9 4 4 3 6
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 66% 52% 57% 59% 56% 60% 58% 56%
Disapprove 33 43 38 38 43 34 40 40
DK/NA 2 5 6 4 2 6 2 4
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Approve 46% 71% 53% 71% 53% 39% 33% 67% 58%
Disapprove 50 25 42 23 44 60 64 29 40
DK/NA 4 4 4 6 3 1 3 4 2
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? |
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jan 30 Dec 12 Jul 25 May 31 Apr 05 Feb 19 Aug 12
2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2011
Approve 57 62 57 58 56 72 45
Disapprove 39 35 38 39 38 17 49
DK/NA 4 3 5 3 6 10 6
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5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 32% 24% 41% 28% 31% 33% 29% 44%
Disapprove 50 64 37 56 55 46 55 33
DK/NA 18 12 22 16 14 21 16 23
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 37% 30% 34% 31% 33% 41% 29% 32%
Disapprove 49 51 44 52 57 36 58 49
DK/NA 14 20 22 16 10 23 13 19
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Approve 27% 37% 35% 36% 33% 25% 23% 37% 27%
Disapprove 60 43 43 43 51 64 65 43 61
DK/NA 13 21 21 21 16 11 12 20 12
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? |
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jan 30 Dec 12 Sep 12 Jul 26 Feb 15 Dec 12 Sep 01
2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2010
Approve 32 35 34 31 29 35 15
Disapprove 50 46 50 51 58 46 75
DK/NA 18 18 15 18 13 18 9
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11. Based on what you've heard or read about the changes to gun laws that Governor Cuomo and lawmakers agreed on, do you think these changes go too far in terms of restricting the rights of gun owners, or not far enough in terms of protecting public safety, or are the changes about right? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Too far 34% 59% 12% 44% 44% 24% 40% 16%
Not far enough 30 17 41 24 25 34 26 44
About right 30 20 40 26 26 34 29 39
DK/NA 6 5 7 6 5 7 5 2
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Too far 21% 42% 37% 37% 26% 38% 35% 30%
Not far enough 35 27 29 25 36 24 33 31
About right 40 25 26 34 34 29 27 34
DK/NA 4 7 8 4 4 9 5 5
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Too far 51% 19% 28% 19% 35% 58% 61% 23% 35%
Not far enough 17 43 32 39 29 17 12 37 31
About right 27 31 35 34 32 21 23 34 27
DK/NA 5 7 5 8 4 4 4 6 7
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12. As you may know, one of the state's new gun laws requires mental-health professionals to report patients who they believe to be a threat to themselves or to others. Law enforcement could then confiscate any firearm owned by the patient. Supporters say this law is necessary to protect public safety. Opponents say this law violates the civil rights of the mentally ill. Do you support or oppose this new law? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Support 76% 71% 83% 71% 70% 81% 77% 84%
Oppose 19 24 12 23 24 14 17 16
DK/NA 6 6 5 6 6 5 6 -
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 79% 74% 71% 81% 83% 71% 79% 76%
Oppose 16 20 21 17 13 21 18 18
DK/NA 5 6 8 2 4 8 4 5
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Support 74% 75% 80% 75% 80% 68% 72% 79% 79%
Oppose 21 19 15 19 15 27 23 15 15
DK/NA 5 6 5 7 5 6 5 5 6
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13. Do you think because of this measure fewer mentally ill people will seek help? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Yes, fewer will
seek help 32% 34% 31% 33% 35% 30% 30% 34%
No 56 56 58 57 56 57 59 56
DK/NA 11 10 11 10 9 14 11 10
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Yes, fewer will
seek help 24% 38% 35% 32% 27% 39% 33% 29%
No 68 50 54 57 65 51 60 56
DK/NA 8 13 11 11 7 10 7 15
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Yes, fewer will
seek help 36% 29% 31% 30% 31% 41% 41% 30% 34%
No 52 60 59 61 57 47 51 59 60
DK/NA 12 11 9 10 12 12 8 12 6
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14. Which of these do you think would do more to reduce gun violence in schools, having stricter gun laws or armed guards in schools? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Stricter gun laws 48% 24% 72% 36% 39% 57% 43% 65%
Armed guards 40 61 20 49 48 33 44 29
DK/NA 12 14 8 15 13 10 12 6
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Stricter gun laws 61% 41% 44% 46% 59% 40% 49% 52%
Armed guards 29 47 43 42 35 50 40 35
DK/NA 10 12 13 12 7 10 11 12
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Stricter gun laws 34% 62% 50% 59% 49% 27% 24% 58% 42%
Armed guards 51 28 39 30 41 60 60 31 47
DK/NA 15 9 10 11 10 13 15 10 11
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15. Is your opinion of the leadership of the National Rifle Association favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? |
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Favorable 22% 42% 5% 27% 30% 14% 26% 8%
Unfavorable 46 23 61 44 43 49 49 43
Hvn't hrd enough 30 33 32 27 25 35 24 48
REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Favorable 17% 25% 23% 22% 22% 18% 24% 22%
Unfavorable 67 34 35 49 58 33 47 51
Hvn't hrd enough 16 39 40 28 20 48 27 25
REFUSED 1 2 2 1 - - 2 2
AREA............. DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HvKds
UpStat NYC Sub Urban Suburb Rural Yes No PbSch
Favorable 29% 14% 22% 15% 24% 33% 45% 12% 24%
Unfavorable 37 51 54 50 52 27 26 54 35
Hvn't hrd enough 31 34 23 33 24 37 27 32 39
REFUSED 3 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 1
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